[New Inbound] Manifesto 25 minute read
New Inbound B2B · manifesto Open content · Ler em português

Inbound didn't die. What died was its mechanism.

The premise still holds: taking part in the buyer's education in order to create demand is what makes the market consider you when the in-market moment arrives. What changed is where that education happens, and that changed everything that comes after it.

Part one

What is the role of marketing?

The role of marketing is to make the company penetrate its target market. In B2B, that happens through the acquisition of new accounts and then through expansion inside those accounts, to pull the maximum revenue out of each one.

It's worth looking at where the word comes from, because the origin already explains the function. "Marketing" comes from market. Which means marketing is literally the discipline of thinking about the market, understanding the target market and acting on it.

Put in day to day terms, everything marketing does has to end in a single question: is this getting the company into the market it chose? If the answer doesn't hold up, the tactic may produce a good looking number in the report, but it isn't doing the job.

And it's with that question in mind that going back in time makes sense, because inbound was born precisely as an answer to it.

Part two

How inbound actually began

Inbound was born in 2006, at MIT, when Brian Halligan, who came out of the cold prospecting world, looked at Dharmesh Shah's startup blog and saw that people were arriving on their own, for free, educating themselves on the very subject he needed them to understand in order to sell. The original premise was not to generate leads, it was to take part in a demand creation that was already happening.

Brian came from sales. He spent his whole career helping technology companies hit quota, and nobody knew the mechanics of outbound better than he did: list, dialing, cold call, meeting booked. But around that same time, he was already noticing that making cold prospecting work was getting harder and harder.

At that same MIT, Dharmesh kept a blog about startups called OnStartups. And that blog had an absurd audience without him having to chase anyone. People arrived on their own, searching Google for how to build a startup, and they stayed to read, to comment and to come back.

While I burn energy interrupting people who don't want to be interrupted, Dharmesh has a giant audience showing up on its own because he publishes something useful.

A paraphrase of the reasoning that gave rise to inbound, not a literal quote.

Here comes the point almost everyone forgets, and it changes how you read everything that follows. Their insight was not inventing demand creation. It was noticing that demand creation was already happening, with buyers educating themselves, and building an organized way to take part in that education using the digital tools that were emerging at that moment: Google, the blog, the form and email.

And where did the lead fit into all this?

The form and the email were not conceived as a machine for generating leads to push to sales as fast as possible. They were conceived as an exclusive nurturing channel, which solved two things at the same time.

On the buyer's side, they got a direct line to the company to keep working through their own problem at their own pace, receiving relevant material by email instead of having to hunt everything down on Google all over again. On the marketing side, you could watch how many emails a person opened, which pages they visited and which links they clicked. That's where lead scoring came from, and it existed to tell you when someone was mature enough to talk to sales.

In other words, the lead was the means, not the end. The end was educating the buyer to the point of maturity where a sales conversation made sense. And it worked extremely well: this logic carried much of B2B marketing for almost 20 years, and HubSpot itself went from two guys on a campus to a publicly traded company.

But somewhere along the way, the market traded one thing for the other.

Part three

Where the market went off course

The market kept prioritizing the "generate the lead" part more and more, and the "educate the lead" part less and less. Targets got heavier on MQL volume, reports turned into MQL dashboards, sales started demanding leads, and marketing answered by delivering completed forms at whatever pace it could manage.

The 2000s

Cold prospecting starts losing efficiency

Cold prospecting is still the backbone of pipeline generation in technology, and it starts showing clear signs of wear: response rates falling, cost per meeting rising. In the same period, buyers start doing something new, which is researching on Google on their own before talking to any salesperson.

2006

Inbound is born, and the premise is demand creation

Halligan looks at Dharmesh's blog, has the insight, and HubSpot is born. Inbound becomes a method for organizing and scaling market education with the tools of the moment. The form existed to open a nurturing channel, and lead scoring existed to tell you when a person was mature enough for sales.

2010 to 2020

The market trades "educate the lead" for "generate the lead"

The model catches on across the entire market, and with scale comes the distortion. What marketing has to account for stops being how much the market learned and becomes how many completed forms came in during the month. Nurturing moves to after the sales contact, turning into an automated, generic flow.

Today

The mechanism breaks, and the premise still stands

The buying journey stops being linear, education leaves Google and scatters, and generative AI commoditizes content once and for all. The mechanism loses traction, but the premise of educating in order to create demand becomes even more necessary, because decisions are more expensive and involve more people.

The detour explains how we got here. What's left is understanding why the old path stopped working, and that comes down to three very specific things.

Part four

The three truths that broke the mechanism

Technology moves forward, people's behavior moves with it, and the way marketing and sales get done has to adapt to that new behavior. The premise of educating in order to create demand still holds. What changed, and changed a lot, is where and how that education happens.

That is exactly what Brian and Dharmesh did back then. They looked at the state of technology at that moment and understood that it opened up a new way to take part in the education the market was already doing on its own. They did not invent educating in order to sell, they adapted educating in order to sell to the technology and the behavior of that moment.

And we are living through a new leap in technology and behavior right now, one that shakes the foundations again. Education is not going to die, quite the opposite: the B2B buyer needs more education than ever, because as technology advances, problems and solutions get more complex, and the wrong decision gets more expensive and pulls in more people.

Seen that way, the logic of old inbound, which was Google, blog, form, email and lead scoring, lost its grip. Not because the idea was wrong, but because the channels where the buyer learns today are different ones. That produced three truths that nobody working in B2B marketing can ignore anymore.

01

The buying journey is not linear

Old inbound assumed a predictable path: search on Google, land on the blog, learn something, fill out the form, enter the flow, mature, and talk to sales when the score hits the threshold. A straight line, one person at a time.

Except that B2B buying was never a straight line, and today even less so. In complex sales the decision is collective, and the bigger the deal, the more people join the committee. On a typical Brazilian project that usually runs from 2 to 4 people. In enterprise buying, Gartner points to committees of 6 to 10.

Each of those people enters the buying journey at a different moment and through a different channel. One through a LinkedIn post, another through a podcast, another because she heard the company name in a WhatsApp group. There is no single point of entry anymore, and a linear mechanism has no way to represent several entries happening in parallel.

02

Education has decentralized

This is the most structural of the three changes. Google was where education lived under old inbound, and today it is not anymore. The B2B buyer learns on LinkedIn, in podcasts, in closed communities, in WhatsApp groups, in newsletters and in conversations with peers.

On top of that, B2B buying journey studies point out that between 70% and 83% of the decision process happens before the first contact with a salesperson. And a good part of that education happens in spaces nobody can track, like conversations in closed groups and recommendations between peers. It is what the market calls dark social: invisible, distributed and impossible to capture in a form.

The practical consequence a lot of people still have not digested is that content has to be more and more open, with no friction. The goal today is to be found, consumed and shared in those spaces, and a form cuts off exactly that circulation.

03

Content became a commodity

When old inbound started working, content was a differentiator. Few B2B companies had a blog, few invested in SEO and few had a dedicated team. Then the model caught on, the market noticed, and everybody started producing content on an assembly line.

Entire businesses were born to scale that, and the result was hundreds of generic, repetitive, opinion free articles written only to rank.

With generative AI, that scaled for good. Anyone can generate 50 articles a day, Google filled up with text that says nothing that has not already been said, and the very logic of searching, clicking and visiting the site is being cannibalized by the answer that arrives straight in the LLM chat.

The funnel did not break because it was wrong. It broke because buyers stopped walking in line.

Put the three together and there is only one conclusion. Inbound, as the idea of taking part in the buyer's education in order to create demand, still holds. The old inbound mechanism for doing it does not. And anyone who wants to keep driving market penetration, which means selling more, landing new accounts, expanding the base and generating revenue, has to change the way they operate along with it.

Sources: Gartner, on the size of the buying committee in enterprise processes. B2B buying journey studies from Forrester/SiriusDecisions and Gartner, on the share of the process that happens before contact with sales.

If the old mechanism no longer works, the question left is what takes its place.

Part five

The cycle that replaces the funnel

New Inbound B2B is a method that organizes market penetration into a continuous cycle of five stages: Position, Ensure Impact, Detect Signals, Start Conversations and Optimize. It keeps the premise of the original inbound, which is creating demand by educating the buyer, and swaps the linear mechanism for one that respects how the B2B buyer learns today.

The most important difference from the funnel is that here there is no beginning and no end. Each turn feeds the next one with what was learned in the one before.

Continuous cycle, not funnel. The highlighted stage follows along as you read.
Stage 01

Position

Before anything else, you need to know who you are talking to, what the maturity of that market is, and what the real differentiators are across cost, product, delivery, niche and authority. And there is a method for that: positioning is market maturity plus differentiators.

One of the most irritating things about old inbound is that you worked for a funnel, not for the market. The result was an entire generation of professionals trained inside a tool's nurture sequence, and who today have a hard time thinking about positioning for real.

Stage 02

Ensure Impact

Good positioning only exists if the market sees it. So the second step is making sure the message, the content and the brand reach the ICP consistently.

And this is not about posting three times a week on LinkedIn. It is about understanding the ICP's behavior pattern and occupying space where they actually learn: in their feed, in the podcast they listen to, in the community they take part in, at the event they go to. This is where demand creation really happens.

Stage 03

Detect Signals

This is where New Inbound separates most clearly from the old one. In the old model, the main signal marketing could read was a form filled out and an email opened, and that made sense, because it was what technology allowed you to read at scale back then.

Today a signal is many more things, because education happens in many more places. It is liking a post, commenting, sharing, visiting the site, engaging with a thought leader on the team, answering a poll, watching a webinar. Detecting that at scale is what separates who can open a conversation today from who is still waiting on the form.

Stage 04

Start Conversations

With the signal detected, the conversation begins. And this is not only outbound, it is inbound too: an inbound lead is a high intent signal. Visible signals, in turn, let you start a conversation with real context through outbound.

This is exactly the part that connects demand creation, which happened back in Ensure Impact, with demand capture, which happens now. In the 2006 model that bridge was made by a single mechanism, the lead nurtured by email. Today it has to be built on the real signals the ICP leaves along the way.

Stage 05

Optimize

The cycle closes by learning. Which signals turned into conversations? Which conversations turned into pipeline? Which content generated the most engagement from the right ICP? Which positioning thesis really resonated?

Nobody gets it right the first time, and nobody should, because the strategy is about the audience. That is why we call it a continuous cycle and not a funnel: each turn changes the way the next turn gets run.

Part six

The three layers of signal

Reading metrics organizes itself around a simple question: what do I know about whoever generated this signal? There are invisible metrics, when you measure without knowing who it is; visible, when you identify the person or the company even though they never handed over the data; and intent, when they handed over their contact information on their own.

Before getting into each layer, one point has to be clear. Metrics are a consequence of the tactics you choose to run. Each tactic lets you read a set of its own, which is why you cannot look at a metric without looking at the tactic alongside it. A podcast has different metrics from a thought leader post, which has different metrics from a lead magnet, which has different metrics from a scheduled demo.

The three layers

Invisible

You measure the signal, but you do not know who the person is or what company they represent. And here is the point a lot of people underestimate: most of the B2B buyer's education happens precisely in tactics that only generate invisible metrics.

  • Podcast plays
  • YouTube views
  • Post and paid media impressions
  • Saves

Visible

You know who the person or the company is, even though they never handed over the data. On LinkedIn this is an extremely strong signal, because it comes with identity, job title, company and industry attached.

  • Reaction on a post
  • Comment
  • Share
  • Visitor tracking on the site
  • Engagement with the team's thought leader

Intent

The person handed over their contact information on their own. At low intent, they gave the contact in exchange for something. At high intent, they want to talk to you, and the difference from the MQL is that they were the one who asked.

  • Newsletter and webinar signups
  • Content download
  • Demo request
  • Sales form

The classic mistake worth avoiding

There is no such thing as an intent metric being better than an invisible metric. They measure different things, at different moments, in different tactics. A podcast tactic will generate around 90% invisible metrics, and that does not mean it is not working. It means it is doing its job, which is to educate and create demand in the invisible, and that the intent signal will show up later, in another tactic.

The rule, then, is to read each layer in light of the tactic that generated that number. Always.

That closes the argument. What comes now are the questions that come up most when it is time to apply it.

Part seven

Frequently asked questions

What is New Inbound B2B?

New Inbound B2B is a demand generation method created by B2B Insiders that organizes market penetration into a continuous five-step cycle: Position, Ensure Impact, Detect Signals, Start Conversations, and Optimize. It keeps inbound's original premise, which is to create demand by educating the buyer, and replaces the linear mechanism of Google, blog, form, email, and lead scoring with a mechanism that respects how B2B buyers educate themselves today: in decentralized channels, in a non-linear way, and as a committee.

Is inbound dead?

Inbound is not dead. Its premise, taking part in the buyer's education in order to create demand, still holds, and it is actually older than the term itself. What lost traction was the mechanism. The sequence of Google, blog, form, email flow, and lead scoring assumed a linear journey and one dominant channel of education, and neither of those exists anymore in B2B with complex sales.

What are the five steps of New Inbound B2B?

The five steps of New Inbound B2B are Position, Ensure Impact, Detect Signals, Start Conversations, and Optimize. They work as a continuous cycle, not as a linear funnel, because there is no beginning and no end: each loop feeds the next one with what was learned in the previous one.

Why doesn't the linear funnel represent B2B buying anymore?

The linear funnel no longer represents B2B buying because in complex sales the decision is collective, and the people on the buying committee enter the journey at different moments and through different channels. One comes in through a LinkedIn post, another through a podcast, another because a peer she respects commented on the company. A linear mechanism assumes a single person advancing in a queue, so it cannot represent an entire committee coming in through different doors at the same time.

What is dark social in B2B?

Dark social is the set of spaces where B2B buyers educate themselves and no one can track it: a conversation in a WhatsApp group, a private community, a direct message, a talk with peers, listening to a podcast. That is where much of the education happens, and it is invisible, distributed, and impossible to capture in a form. This is why reading signals becomes so important: it is how you see who is paying attention without depending on someone raising a hand.

What are invisible, visible, and intent metrics?

Invisible metrics are the ones you measure without knowing who the person is, such as impressions, views, and podcast plays. Visible metrics are the ones that identify the person or the company even though they never handed over their data, such as reactions, comments, shares, and visitor tracking. Intent metrics are the ones where the person handed over their contact information on their own, and they split into low intent, such as newsletter and webinar signups, and high intent, such as a demo request or a sales inquiry.

Is the MQL dead?

The MQL is not dead as a record that someone raised a hand. It just stopped being enough as the only signal that the market is paying attention. When an operation reads nothing but submitted forms, it sees only the fraction of the market that is already actively searching, and it ignores all the visible engagement from people who are educating themselves now and will buy later.

Should B2B content be open or behind a form?

In demand creation, keep it open. Every form field lowers the odds that the material circulates, and circulation is exactly what gets the content to people who don't know the company yet. Gated material still makes sense when the goal is to capture demand from people who are already searching, and not when the goal is to create demand in people who don't even know they have the problem.

How do you measure demand creation when much of it is invisible?

Measure demand creation by reading each layer in light of the tactic that produced the number. Each tactic lets you read a set of its own: a podcast generates almost nothing but invisible metrics, a LinkedIn post generates invisible and visible ones, a contact form generates intent. The next step, for anyone who wants to run this for real, is to cross the three layers and start reading market penetration as a system instead of looking at each number in isolation.

Is New Inbound B2B the same thing as ABM?

New Inbound B2B is not the same thing as ABM. ABM is a level of personalization inside market penetration, used when complexity is high and the market is small. New Inbound B2B is the method that organizes market penetration as a whole, and the level of personalization is one decision within it, determined by deal size, sales complexity, and market size.

Do I need to abandon Google, blog, and email?

You don't need to abandon Google, blog, and email. The point is not that these channels stopped existing, it is that they stopped being the dominant place where B2B buyers educate themselves. They are still useful, mainly to capture people who are already actively searching. What changes is that demand creation now happens mostly where the buyer is educating themselves today, and email stops being the only channel for staying present.

How long does this take to produce results?

Part of the result is immediate, because settling positioning and narrative already aligns the team, brings clarity to the pitch, and improves the quality of sales conversations within weeks. The other part compounds: every piece reinforces the same mental association in the ICP, and more accounts enter a buying moment over time already knowing who the company is and why it is different. Both effects coexist, and the second one is what makes the curve grow.

Entries

Glossary

Demand creation#
Educating the part of the market that is not buying yet, so that it recognizes the problem and considers you when it enters a buying moment.
Demand capture#
Receiving and converting the people who already recognize the problem and are actively looking for a solution.
Market penetration#
Growing by selling the product you already have to the market you already serve, gaining share instead of creating a new product or entering a new market.
The 95/5 rule#
A reference from the Ehrenberg-Bass Institute holding that only about 5% of the B2B market is in a buying moment at any given time. The other 95% are future buyers.
ICP#
An account or contact that has the characteristics that make it liable to suffer the problem you solve. It is fit, not interest and not engagement.
Visible signal#
Engagement in which you identify the person or the company even though they never handed over their data, such as a reaction, a comment, or a share on LinkedIn.
Market maturity#
How much your ICP already recognizes the problem and the way to solve it. It happens on three levels: problem, category, and product.
Dark social#
The spaces where the buyer educates themselves and no one can track it: WhatsApp groups, private communities, direct messages, conversations with peers, and podcast listening.
To apply

Two tools, now that the reading is over

You read the whole argument. These two things exist to bring it into your operation. The first one tells you which level your market is at. The second one shows what your current tactics are actually able to measure.

Which maturity level is your market at?

Market maturity is how much your ICP already recognizes the problem and the way to solve it. There are three levels: problem, category, and product. Knowing which one your market is at changes the message, the content, the channel, and the pace.

Level 01

Problem

The ICP feels a pain, but still can't put a name to it, doesn't know that an entire category of solution exists for it, and hasn't connected the pain to the consequence in the business. Communication has to reframe the problem before anything else. Talking about product here skips a step, because the buyer hasn't bought into the problem yet.

Level 02

Category

The ICP already understands the problem and is evaluating how to solve it. A category is the way a problem gets solved. Communication has to name the type of solution that works and show why the paths the buyer tries today, like a spreadsheet, a manual process, or an adjacent solution, don't hold up.

Level 03

Product

The ICP already knows the problem is there and already understands that your category is the obvious way to solve it. The dispute now is between vendors inside the same category. This is the level where differentiation, proof, and comparison carry the most weight, and where generic communication about the problem no longer convinces anyone.

The four questions below point to which of the three your market is at today.

0 of 4 answered

01When you describe the problem your company solves, your ICP usually...

02When you say the name of the solution category, your ICP...

03In sales meetings, the objection that shows up most is...

04The people who reach out to you usually...

This is a tool for orientation, not a closed diagnosis. In practice, you read maturity by cross-checking customer interviews, competitive analysis, and what comes up in sales conversations.

Which metrics does each tactic actually generate?

Select the tactics you run today and see how your read spreads across the three layers.

Invisible0%
Visible0%
Intent0%

Select at least one tactic above to see the read.

These proportions are illustrative, built to teach how the three layers are read. They are not market benchmarks, and they vary a lot by industry, format, and how mature the operation is.

Open content

Feel free to cite, copy, and use it

This manifesto is open on purpose. There is no form, no paywall, and no email request. If it helps you explain something to your team, to a client, or to a board, use it.

The only thing we ask for is attribution, with a link. Here is the canonical form:

LIMA, David Costa. New Inbound B2B: the manifesto. B2B Insiders, July 25, 2026. Available at: https://novoinbound.com.br/en/

Every glossary entry has its own permanent link, and there is a markdown version of this page for anyone who wants to cite it in an AI tool, an internal document, or a wiki.

If this reading left you with more questions than answers, that's a good sign. It means you started to see the real size of the problem.

What this manifesto delivers is the "what" and the "why". The "how" is another conversation, and a much longer one: how to position, how to build presence without depending on Google, how to detect signals at scale, how to start a conversation without sounding like cold outbound, and how to build the three-layer dashboard that guides the team day to day.

If you want that path step by step, it's in the B2B Demand Generation Program.

If you'd rather look at your own operation before deciding anything, you can book 30 minutes with me. It's not a product demo, it's a conversation about where your cycle is getting stuck. And if you just want to follow what we publish, the B2B Insiders LinkedIn page is the place.